Udinese is in an indisputable crisis
Udinese came down with poor results in the bottom third of the Serie A standings. And are only 3 points away from relegation. At home they perform poorly with 5 losses from 8 households. Their last 2 home games have also been lost.
A big problem for the team is the insecure and permeable defense. In their last 5 matches they conceded 12 goals. Impressive is the huge dissonance between the expectations for points earned as shown on the field of 30.51 and the actual available only 16. See xG data .
A closer look in search of the cause gives the answer in almost 9 fewer goals scored and almost as many in more goals conceded than expected . Serious game deficit in both attack and defense. And an indisputable crisis for Udinese at the moment.
The big question for our forecast is whether we can expect any improvement for this meeting. For me, the answer is no. Judging by their otherwise completely undeserved loss to Sampdoria, there is clearly no progress in defense yet. Although one of the two conceded goals was from a penalty.
In attack they created many situations. But keep in mind that they will now have 3 absent offensive players.
Atalanta is picking up speed again
Atalanta have become accustomed in recent years to seeing them in the Top 4 of the Serie A standings. Until recently, they were moving at this level once again. But suddenly there was a slight drop in their performance.
For me, the explanation is in the large number of players on the team scheduled for transfers. Which, for this reason, cannot be invested to the maximum in every match. The latest example is the unfortunate home draw with Genoa. In which, despite the total dominance, they failed to score. Before that, however, the victories over Benevento and Parma were in the typical effective and powerful style.
My conclusion is that in this match we will see our well-known Atalanta. As a guest they have only 1 loss from 8 games in Calcio. And they scored 18 goals in them. They have no staffing problems. The only absent Mario Pasalic has long been in hospital.
Forecast for Udinese – Atalanta
The last 5 matches between these teams are victories for Atalanta. And last season, but at home, the Bergamas defeated Udinese with a record score of 7-1. Now, of course, I am far from thinking of such a result. But I can not allow any other way out but a new victory.
There are too many problems for Udinese. And as I have already shared, it is not possible to resolve them at this very moment. Winning early in the match for Atalanta is my choice. And I add for this purpose to score a goal in both halves.
Top facts and statistics for the match
Udinese have not won in 7 matches, losing 4 of the last 5.
Udinese are in a series of 4 households without a win: 0-2-2.
Atalanta is undefeated in 11 games, winning 8.
Atalanta have not lost in their last 8 away games: 5-3-0.
Atalanta is in a series of 5 victories against Udinese.
There have been over 2.5 goals in the last 4 games for Udinese. As in 6 of Atalanta’s 7.
Last 5 matches: UDINESE
Last 5 matches: ATALANTA
Head-to-head matches: UDINESE – ATALANTA
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Match Info: Udinese Vs Atalanta Prediction
Date: Wednesday, 20 January 2021
Kick-Off at 14.00 UK
Venue: Dacia Arena, Udine.
|Forecast:||Option 1. Atalanta to win
Option 2. OV2.5 GOALS