Let’s try to find a bet that has value in this Premier League match between Liverpool and Brighton. If you look at the odds offered for this match, it becomes clear that the big favourite is the hosts.
And the Bookmaker wants us to choose him. However, let’s take a closer look at the current situation around both teams. And to judge whether it is worth such a choice.
Liverpool missed him in defense!
What is important for us is that Liverpool are the 2nd strongest host in the Premier League with only 1 loss so far. At the same time, they have the second strongest home defense and attack.
Undoubtedly, these are very good indicators from the team’s recent past. But much more important, as always, are the realities of the moment.
Here, right in front of us, a slightly more tragic picture of, for example, the state of Liverpool’s defensive formation is revealed. Joel Matip is also no longer available.
Thus, Jürgen Klopp had to attract two new central defenders to the fire. These are Ben Davis from Preston and Ozan Kabak from Schalke.
Undoubtedly, great additions. But they are unlikely to take part in this meeting until 48 hours after their arrival. This automatically means that Fabinho and Henderson will again be in unusual positions in the center of defense.
Or at least one of them.
Brighton is in top form!
The Merseysiders will have the Brighton team against them. Who after 3 wins in his last 4 matches, without a doubt has increased self-confidence.
Brighton’s victories over Leeds and Tottenham were more than deserved. And the draw with Fulham was due only to a lack of luck.
Prediction for Liverpool – Brighton
Brighton are undoubtedly on an upward trend. Even in these circumstances, the security of Liverpool’s victory cannot match the odds offered for them.
It’s just not worth the risk. Brighton, however, made 4 corners against Manchester City. And then 10 against Fulham and 9 against Tottenham.
In the same period, Liverpool allowed 6 corners against West Ham. And even Newcastle, who played ultra defensively against them, managed to make them 5 corners.
The odds for at least 4 corners from Brighton in these circumstances have more than a 50% chance. That is, the proposed coefficient for this forecast has the qualities of a value bet. We play.
Top facts and statistics for the match
- Liverpool have lost just 1 of their last 6 home games: 3-2-1.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in 9 games against Brighton, winning 8.
- Brighton have lost just 1 of their last 7 games: 3-3-1.
- Brighton are in a series of 3 clean sheets in the Premier League.
- Mohamed Sala is Liverpool ‘s top scorer with 15 goals. Neil Mope has 7 for Brighton.
- Fabinho has more yellow cards (4) than any other Liverpool player. Yves Bisuma is 6 for Brighton.
Last 5 matches: LIVERPOOL
|31.01.21||PL||West Ham||Liverpool||1: 3||W|
|24.01.21||FAC||Manchester Utd||Liverpool||3: 2||L|
Last 5 matches: BRIGHTON
Head-to-head matches: LIVERPOOL – BRIGHTON
Match Info: Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction
|Liverpool vs Brighton||
|Forecast:||Option 1: Liverpool to win
Option 2: OV1.5