Brighton misses many chances!
Brighton are in 16th place in the Premier League table, with 4 points more and a game less at the moment than the relegation group.
Interestingly, according to xPTS, they should be 11 places higher than their actual ranking.
What are the reasons for this huge discrepancy?
The answer lies in the very poor realization of their attack. Which is especially pronounced in their home matches.
They scored only 11 home goals with expectations for 23.90.
This has led to the failure to achieve a large number of expected victories. Which have been transformed into as many as 7 draws.
Thus, instead of the expected 25.75 points from households, there are only 10 of them.
They are currently in a good series of results with 3 wins and 3 draws in the Premier League. But their game is on the ups and downs.
If, for example, in their last game against Aston Villa they had to win, instead of a zero draw.
In their previous two matches, they deserved the loss. See xG data .
In short, Brighton are a team that can never be trusted to bet.
Or at least not the odds offered for their victory.
Crystal Palace has staffing problems!
The same goes, and even more so, for the Crystal Palace team. Especially in the absence of Wilfred Zaha.
They enter this match after a heavy 0-3 loss to Burnley. And more importantly, after a very weak game.
Another bad news for them is that in addition to their main goal scorer, they will be without three full-backs.
You already understand why I said that Crystal Palace does not deserve any trust.
Forecast for Brighton – Crystal Palace
After all, we have a strange match between teams with unclear current form and unclear game formations and strategies.
However, I noticed that Brighton are in the Top 5 of the teams in terms of corners won in their home games in the Premier League.
Apparently in their helplessness they rely a lot on them for goals.
True, here too they are not given much with only 3 hits from corners and one from a free kick.
However, Crystal Palace not only allows a lot of corner kicks against themselves, but also a lot of goals from static positions.
A total of 10 so far. Of which 7 are from a corner.
It turns out that the chance of Brighton’s goal from a static position in this match is not small.
Already 3 of their hits are the work of their 192-centimeter central defender Lewis Dunk.
In this way it is very effective. Because the expectations were for only 2 goals from him.
All three of his goals this season are from a corner. But in addition to two with a head, there is one with a jester.
That is, Lewis Dunk is not limited in the ways of realization.
A small bet for this kind of market, of course.
- exact result: 1-1
Top facts and statistics for the match
- Brighton are unbeaten in the last 6 rounds of the league: 3-3-0.
- Brighton host Premier League this season: 1-7-4.
- He has under 2.5 goals in 9 of Brighton’s last 10 games.
- Crystal Palace have lost 4 of their last 6 games: 2-0-4.
- Palace have lost 4 of their last 6 away games: 1-1-4.
- Yves Bisuma has more yellow cards (6) than any other Brighton player. Milivojevic is 6 for Palace.
Brighton’s last 5 games:
|02/13/21||PL||Brighton||Aston Villa||0: 0||Р|
Last 5 Crystal Palace games:
|02/13/21||PL||Kr. Palace||Burnley||0: 3||З|
|02/08/21||PL||Leeds||Kr. Palace||2: 0||З|
|02.02.21||PL||Newcastle||Kr. Palace||1: 2||P|
|01/30/21||PL||Kr. Palace||Wolves||1: 0||P|
|01/26/21||PL||Kr. Palace||West Ham||2: 3||З|
Last 5 direct meetings:
|10/18/20||PL||Kr. Palace||Brighton||1: 1|
|02/29/20||PL||Brighton||Kr. Palace||0: 1|
|12/16/19||PL||Kr. Palace||Brighton||1: 1|
|03/09/19||PL||Kr. Palace||Brighton||1: 2|
|12/04/18||PL||Brighton||Kr. Palace||3: 1|
Match Info: Brighton Vs Crystal Palace Prediction
|Brighton Vs Crystal Palace||
|Forecast:||Option 1: Brighton win or draw
Option 2: OV1.5